Wednesday, December 3, 2008

Javier Vázquez came to Braves

AJC: Braves trade for White Sox starter Javier Vazquez

"In a six-player deal, the biggest Braves talent — literally and figuratively — going to Chicago is catching prospect Tyler Flowers, a 6-foot-4, 248-pound slugger who was the best power hitter in the Arizona Fall League.

The Braves were also expected to send infielder Brent Lillibridge, minor league third baseman Jon Gilmore and rookie-league lefty Santos Rodriguez to Chicago for Vazquez and lefty Boone Logan."

Javier Vazquez 2000年以來的九個球季有八季超過200局、六季超過190次三振,是個能吃局數並具有三振能力的投手,另外低四死球表示他一定的控球能力;合約還有二年:2009/11.5M, 2010/11.5M; NTC/NL-west & AL-west。

Vazquez 近三年的成績,

Yr

W

L

ERA

GS

IP

K9

BB9

HR9

AVG

2006

11

12

4.84

32

202.2

8.17

2.49

1.02

.265

2007

15

8

3.74

32

216.2

8.85

2.08

1.20

.244

2008

12

16

4.67

33

208.1

8.64

2.64

1.08

.267

Car.

127

129

4.32

353

2270.2

7.99

2.39

1.19

.310


而 ERA+ 分別是 98 (2006)/127 (2007)/98 (2008).

Braves 最大的代價是今年 AFL 爆發的 Tyler Flowers,不過坦白說,在 AFL 之前大概沒多少人特別注意過這位球員。而 Brent Lillibridge 的離開,是否代表 Yunal Escobar 被交易的機會變小?well, 就等著 Frank Wren 繼續這場難熬的冬日補強戰役了。

** Added on Dec-06
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Sabernomics: Breaking Down the Vazquez Deal

"Vazquez is scheduled to earn $11.5 million a season for the next two years. I have him valued at around $14 million year over this period, which means he’s generating $5 million in surplus. Logan isn’t arbitration-eligible until 2010. He’s a soon-to-be 24-year-old lefty reliever with major-league experience. His surplus value is harder to project, but it is similar to Vazquez’s (possibly higher)."

"Lillibridge was horrible in 2008, and nothing special in 2007... Flowers is certainly a hot prospect.... But, he’s a long way off. He may turn out to be a star or never play a game in the big leagues.... The two lesser prospects are too far off for me to evaluate."

"Final analysis: good deal"

"The Braves fill big holes in the rotation and the bullpen without having to give up major-league talent. This is exactly the type of move that the win-now Braves need to be making.... Seems like mutually beneficial exchange…imagine that"

作者以球員價值的角度來分析這筆交易,認為這個結果不錯,且對勇士白襪雙方都有利。
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90年代的 Braves 有 Ted Turner 這位大金主撐腰,往往像現在的 Yankees 一樣搜刮自由市場的球員;但自 Time Warner 接手、薪資預算大幅縮減後,就常以強大的農場供應來換得所需要的球員,這和 Moneyball、Sabermetrics 一派的作法不同。Braves 在 John Schuerholz 和 Bobby Cox 長期領軍下的目標就是 Win Now,而優異的選秀以及農場培育球員的能力,為此提供源源不絕的交易籌碼。去年球季才以Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Elvis Andrus, Neftali Feliz ,Matt Harrison, Beau Jones 的大包裹換來 Mark Teixeira 和 Ron Mahay,今年又能提出市場上最好的條件想取得 Jake Peavy,雖然機會不大,但足以證明勇士農場深度和實力的強大。

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